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American Contractor Intell Report Date: 05/29/2019

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Inside Iraq the state banks take control of the banking industry. There are more state banks than private banks. If you have been reading my blog (American Contractor) you would know already know that the banking industry in extremely underdeveloped. If you ever go to Iraq, you will see banks everywhere. They look like a bank on the outside but when you walk into the bank lobby, they are selling furniture or sometimes you will see used cars for sale. That is not a bank by no means, but they can get away with it because there is no oversight with any authority to crackdown on the banks. Private banks do the largest disservice to the Iraqi people.

The private banks for the most part do currency exchange and wire transfers. It’s pure profit for the private banks.

The number one question I always get is “Do you think its going to RV.”

The Iraqi government has always mentioned that they will replace their currency with new categories and will follow what the country Turkey has done in the past. That does not sound like an RV to me.

I know that many of you will not like that answer but its my opinion and we can debate it if you like.

The banking industry has to develop into the twenty-first century if it ever wants to grow help its citizens. They lack banking services and mostIraqi do not have a bank account and keep there money in cash at their house or buried in the desert somewhere.

If you have any questions, please send them to the email address below and I will answer them in the next issue of the American Contractor Intel Report.

If you are paying attention to what is happening inside the USA. I am sure that you are learning about other sources of money. Like silver, Gold, and Crypto. If you are not studying these types of currency and precious metals you are doing you and your family a disservice.

Last week Ford Motor company announced the lay off of 7,000 people. Other long established businesses in the USA are also laying off people. More on this later.

Until then have a great night.

Rich Morris
American Contractor
Email: ac@americancontractor.com
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Welcome to the American Contractor Intelligence Report  Date: 05/28/2019

When you look at media headlines coming out of Iraq. You must take a step back. You must read and reread the articles.

In Iraq, they’re articles written every day to mislead you. Just like an Iraqi guru who mislead you every day. A week ago, I received information that the Iraq Central Bank (CBI) was distributing old banknotes. This is a false story. The CBI is not distributing any Iraqi dinar currency that is old or what you would consider lower denominations.

In Iraq, there are media organizations that are aligned with various political organizations and sometimes associated with these political parties are militias that are well armed better than the Iraqi army and police.

A few years ago, I mentioned a significant event occurred with the Central Bank of Iraq that sent shock waves inside the country. The CBI shut down its doors inside the Kurdistan Regional Government. The CBI moved out and did not distribute or transfer any cash like US Dollars or Iraqi dinar currency to pay government employees for two to three years. It almost crippled the KRG if it wasn’t for selling oil through their northern borders into Turkey and Europe. Several months ago, the CBI along with the central government eased restrictions and started to distribute money (USD, IQD) into the KRG region to pay for salaries and pensions. Now the KRG has unfortunately aligned themselves with the Iranians. This in the future may be

The Iraqi economic conditions are gradually getting better. The country is receiving more foreign investment as its coming in slowly. Investors are still cautious but the recent conditions like higher oil prices and higher public and private investment Iraq is getting better.

Iraq is working within the parameters of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund. I guess that’s a good thing. Higher oil prices means that the government will be bale to fund construction projects and pay the salaries of government retirees.

The Iraqi army has some military success fighting the bad guys. However, they still have protests, high unemployment, corruption, and lower standards of living.
Electricity and clean water are very important for everyone and are lacking in that area.

The spread between the official and parallel exchange rate is getting closer (2%). Iraq has low inflation. Some say in the single digits.

The Iraqi dinar is pegged to the USD. The CBI is using that to keep the inflation low. The CBI money supply has been contracting started last year. This may be a good thing. Will have to wait and see what develops with the IQD.

Private banks still involved with currency exchanges and wire transfers that is there business model. (Think Iran).

Inside the American Contractor Intel report (ACIR)there will be private offers that if you decided to purchase and use will help support the newsletter. I would get a small stipend if you decided to purchase the offers inside the ACIR.

Remember this report will be daily and will focus on the middle east, world currency, and world events.
If you don’t want to receive this email report you can unsubscribe.
If you have any questions you can email me I always enjoy receiving email from my readers. If there is a topic you want to know about and would like for me to mention in the ACIR please send me an email.

Thanks for reading.

Rich Morris
American Contractor
Email: americancontarctor@gmail.com

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5/11/2019 In Iraq, the oil contributes 92% of the revenue to the Iraqi government’s budget and that’s according to Iraq oil minister Thamer Ghadhban. The oil minister said that he is trying to change that. Iraq could increase development in industries like banking, construction materials, food processing, metal fabrication and become the next leader in the middle east. This is all going to take more time than what people are wanting. Nothing has really changed since the bad guys in Iraq been defeated. The Iraqi government are trying to play nice with the U.S. government and the Iranians. I have stated in past emails that the Iranians have infiltrated the Iraqi government. They will use the Iraqi government for their (Iran) benefit. The Iran sanctions are in full force right now. The Iraqi government has vowed to increase oil production to overcome the shortage due to Iran forced to stop exporting oil to China. You will see Iraq prevented from increasing oil exports to assist the Saudi Arabian and UAE governments. Both these countries most likely do not have the capacity to meet the shortage without Iraq’s help. China is a big importer of Iranian oil.

Central Bank of Iraq

The Central Bank of Iraq governor Ali Mohsen Al-Allaq has been meeting the CBI governor of Iran to increase both countries banking relationships. You can see what is being developed in both countries. Iran has banks inside Iraq and they will always have access to US dollars and any financial transaction their heart desires.

Military

You may have saw the news reports of the United States government deploying U.S. Army Patriot missiles to the middle east. These are defensive weapons that are used to shoot down incoming missiles. This is not the only weaponry that the United States is deploying. They have also deployed a bomber group consisting of B-52 and Navy aircraft carriers. The US Aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln and USS Arlington which has U.S. Marines and everything you need to support Marines in battle are on station in the gulf. The Pentagon is not saying where exactly the B-52 bombers are in the Middle East. There’re few locations where a runway can support a large military jet like B-52.

Thank you for taking the time to read the email. If you ahve any questions you can email or send me a text at the email and cell number below. Thanks, Rich.

American Contractor   Text/SMS: +1 931-444-7110   Email: americancontractor@gmail.com

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11/4/2018  I know that It’s not often that I send out exciting updates on what is happening in Iraq. However, I thought tonight would be a great opportunity to reach out to you all and just let you know that I’m still actively posting.

As always, I continue to talk to my Iraq contacts daily by Skype and Email. It’s important to keep up with what’s happening inside the newly elected government and the private sector. In Iraq, the Iranian-backed Shiite militias (IBSM) are controlling the private sector and the government in just about every province. The IBSM are creating checkpoints and shaking down every person who comes through and making daily life very difficult for all.

On Monday, November 5, 2018, the United States government will reinstate the Iran sanctions. The sanctions will target the energy, shipbuilding, shipping, and financial sectors. You’ll probably see the sanctions in the news circling next week. The U.S. State Department sent out a tweet last week telling the Iraqi government to disarm the militias. This did not go over well with the Iraqi officials. In fact, most of the officials are Iranian agents or at the minimum on their payroll. Iraq will most likely receive a waiver on the sanctions in regards with Iran. The Iraqi government will most likely continue to conduct business with Iran but not in US currency. The Iranian rial currency lost about 70% of its value and inflation is skyrocketing in Iran. It will be interesting to see how Iran will operate with the sanctions before their economy collapses.

You can already see that tensions are brewing again in the Middle East. Iran continues to support terrorists’ organizations in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen. It will be interesting yo see how the Iranian government responds to the U.S. sanctions. The Russian government strongly condemns the move in reports stating “do everything necessary to preserve and expand international trade and economic and financial cooperation.” There will be countries around the world that will not abide by the imposed US sanctions on Iran.

Did you know we have several thousand US Troops stationed in Iraq? This is a real threat to the Iranian government. The Deputy Commander of the Islamic revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) stated that they could manage the US forces quickly. In the article the IRGC commander does not say exactly what he will do to take control of US Forces in Iraq. The IRGC has missile capability and I’m confident they’d use well-armed Iran backed militias. Our US Military has probably thought of every contingent to respond to any threat in the region to include the Iranians.

The Iranian economy will not be able to sustain the sanctions. The Iranian rial will suffer inflation and become worthless. The reason why the Iranians want the US dollar and are swiftly collecting the dollars. United States Treasury advised the SWIFT system (a banking transactions authority) to halt all transactions to Iran. This will significantly impact the Iran economy.

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7/4/2018 American Contractor Intel Report

The Iraqi elections were held on the 12th of May. In Kirkuk, Iraq security forces were attacked and wounded by unknown masked gunmen with RPG’s and a car bomb while doing the task of checking ballot boxes. The media is also reporting that the Ministry of Finance building has mysteriously broken out in a fire. The extend of damage is not yet known. Following the day after elections, the Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC), announced that the former militia leader (who turned Shia cleric) Muqtada al-Sadr, and his Saairun political party had won 54 seats in the Iraq parliament.

Prior to the elections, the government of Iran had sent their terrorist Quds Force leader, Army General Qasem Soleimani to Baghdad. Soleimani was more than likely meeting with his Iranian agents inside Iraq to coordinate the rigging of the election. The mullahs in Tehran wanted to ensure that the Iraq elections ended in their favor. Naturally, the Iranian government displayed their shock and dismay upon the announcement of which candidate was victorious. It has been reported that there has been numerous cases of voter fraud. In fact, the Iraqi government was going to conduct a manual recount when a major fire (coincidentally) broke out Sunday morning (June 10) inside a warehouse in the Rusafa district of Baghdad.

The Iraq parliament has now voted unanimously to hold another country wide election. In addition, the Iraqi government has also fired the Iraq Electoral Commission and has now turned the entire voting oversight to the 9 supreme court judges.

Several political offices belonging to Al-Sadr have been attacked by unknown gunman. On Friday, June 8, a residence located in Sadr city unexpectedly exploded wounding over 90, and killing 18. The residence was reportedly being used for storing ammunition. This incident prompted Al-Sadr to announce an initiative to have all weapons/guns turned in and has now declared Sadr city a weapons free zone. The storing of large amounts of ammunition inside a residence is illegal and the Iraqi government is conducting their own investigation.

Rich Morris
American Contractor

04/25/2018 American Contractor Intel Report (ACIR)

Within the Government of Iraq (GoI) politicians are holding duel passports in Iraq and Iran. Apparently, they work and serve both governments. I am told that this is quickly becoming a major problem and the Iraqi leaders are trying their best to resolve this. For example, Iraq’s Acting Minister of Industry and Minerals, Mohammad Shiaa al-Sudani, has signed a co-operation agreement with Iran’s Defense Minister, Amir Hatami. However, the Defense minister is not coordinating the agreement with the Iranians. The deal was to increase weapon sales and equipment between the two countries. More on this below.

Iraq Prime Minister, Haider al-Abadi, whom is a member of the Victory Alliance formed by the former Prime Minister, Nuri al-Maliki stated that he is confident that he will win a second term as Prime Minister. Many Iraqi’s are voicing their disappointment and anger that al-Abadi did not fulfill his past campaign promises. In addition, the Kurds are not too keen with al-Abadi as well. Apparently, he ticked a lot of people off when he decreased the federal budget funding from 17% to 12% for the Regional Kurdistan Government (KRG). The KRG is receiving less money from the central government and therefore cannot manage their budget appropriately. Corruption continues to be a major problem within the KRG and nothing ever gets done about it.

On April 17, 2018, the Iraqi parliament were expected to show up for business as usual, but all that fell through when many members failed to even show up. Note that, 70% of parliament members are running again for office. There will be no more sessions in Parliament until after the elections on May 12.

Security / Infrastructure

On Thursday April 19, 2018, military officials from Iraq, Iran, Syria, and Russia met in Baghdad to discuss military operations against terrorists in the region. Note that, there were no U.S. military representatives at the meeting. Looks to me like just another example the GOI is moving towards anti-western countries. Iraq’s Acting Minister of Industry and Minerals, Mohammad Shiaa al-Sudani, signed a co-operation agreement with Iran’s Defense Minister, Amir Hatami. If you read the article it clearly shows a disturbing course of action by the Iraqi government.

Energy

Exxon Mobil halted all negotiations with the Iraqi government in developing their oil fields. The giant oil company has not worked in Iraq for the past two years. This was in regards to disagreements on the conditions of the contract and its costs. This will be a major setback for Iraq in developing of their oil fields.

Rich Morris
American Contractor

American Contractor Intel Report (ACIR) 04/18/2018

In the course of the next few months you may quite possibly see media reporting about a delete the zeros project. According to the intel I have, as well as info I received today from a banker, the delete the zeros project is going to be progressing at a much faster pace, and word has it that new information will be published after Ramadan. In February 2012, the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) circulated reports to the Baghdad media that they were going to introduce three new banknotes. They were reported as follows; the 50, 100, and 200 Iraqi dinar currency. The reports also made mention of coins however, coins are not very popular with the Iraqi’s. So, who can tell, it may or may not happen with the coins. Everything from this point on is riding on the upcoming national and local elections (May 12). There appears to be a vast more supporters than not for the delete the zero’s project. The CBI would like to gain control and lower the inflation and boost the economy. At least that is their intention. The company that will be printing the new bank notes has already been selected, the authorization is the only delay in moving forward with the print. You may see some action possibly after the elections, depending on which party has control of the government. The Iraqi parliament will have to vote on the delete the zeros project given that they did not get the opportunity in 2012. The Iraqi cabinet stopped it because they believed the economic climate was not yet ready.

The GOI has had concerns about the mafia gangs inside Iraq that are taking advantage of the situation. But that’s a whole separate issue they need to tackle. Oil prices are continuing to go up and businesses are returning although cautiously and investing in startups and existing companies. You will learn of the delete the zeros project getting ready to be implemented when you read that there is an education campaign going on inside Iraq. The education campaign will consist of news media, flyers, and radio advertising to get the word out. The CBI wants to make sure that everyone is informed about the delete the zeros project.

The banking system in Iraq is not up to par with 21st century banking standards. There is a plan in place to modernize the banking. The CBI does not care to see the Islamic banks outperforming the other banks.

The counterfeit dinar problem continues to be an issue. In Iraq, every bank manager turns in all of the counterfeit notes that he encounters from his depositors each week to the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI). The bank is rewarded for this and receives a credit from the CBI.

Rich Morris
American Contractor


American Contractor Intel Report (ACIR)  04/17/2018

Recently there have been reports about the declining U.S. dollar in Iraq. This is true because political candidates are currently using the U.S. dollar to fund their campaigns. The U.S. currency will always remain in Iraq and it’s still the dominating currency in the country. Recently the Iranians were complaining that they are having issues with getting the US currency. After the election on May 12, the US currency will be back to normal in Iraq.

The Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) has issued a memo saying that they will not accept any torn, or damaged Iraqi dinar currency. If you have any Iraqi dinar currency make sure your taking great care of the currency.

In September 2014, Nuri al-Maliki was removed from the Prime Minister position and he is currently making political moves to replace al-Abadi in the next national elections. We know he is the Iranian favorite as the Iranians are getting nervous about al-Abadi.

Business in Iraq

The Iraqi government has a plan to build 300,000 housing units and this project is worth hundreds of millions of dollars. The question arises is how are is the government going to get the money to start building when they are currently in a deficit and cant pay the bills.

Security

The government of Iraq (GoI) declared victory over the Islamic State after defeating the terrorists in Mosul and chased them back into Syria. The U.S. Pentagon has reported that there is a “resurge” of the Islamic State in Syria. And if that is true it’s also happening inside Iraq. In February, the Pentagon asked the U.S. Congress for funding to arm and equip 60,000 Kurdish fighters in Syria. This is the start of having the U.S. military leave Syria if the funding is approved.

In the Middle East it is still a powder keg. Especially when you have the Quds force commander Qasem Soleimani threatening the United States and Israel saying “breaking the rules of the game.” Qasem is upset when the Israel Defense Force launched an attack on the Iranian air base T4 in Syria killing several members of the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps). Qasem will probably realized that he and he thugs will be no match for the military power of the west.

Rich Morris
American Contractor

04/16/2018 American Contractor Intel Report (ACIR)

Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) have recaptured all of the territory held by the Islamic State (ISIS). However, in December of 2017, the Prime Minister Haider al- Abadi declared ISIS defeated. Unfortunately, large areas of northern and western Iraq continue to lay in ruins from the extensive fighting. Since 2014, the lack of local governance, secure transportation, disruption in local services, and a decrease in international oil prices have severely impacted Iraq’s economy. At the present time, the Iraqi’s are shifting their attention towards recovery and the country’s political future. The security conditions are improving and the Iraqi army is continuing onward with their counter-terrorism operations against the Islamic State.

There are currently 26 days left in the Iraqi national elections. Over 1,000 candidates are campaigning for all the various political positions. Each and every one of my Iraqi contacts have stated that this election is the most crucial one for the future of Iraq. The Iranian government is trying to maintain their control of the Iraqi government. Clearly, Iran does not want to see the Iraqi government align themselves with the west. In my opinion, the Iraqi government has an unstable relationship with the west and a stronger relationship with Russia, Iran and China.

It has been reported, that the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) have closed the gap with the parallel market rate. Issues remain with the currency and the CBI is preparing to print even more currency shortly after the elections. As if they don’t have enough already!

Ramadan begins May 15, 2018, so clearly nothing significant will happen during this time. Thank you, for reading the American Contractor Intel Report.

Rich Morris

04/15/2018 AC Intel Report
American Contractor Intelligence Report (ACIR)

In northern Iraq, the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), the Hashd al-Shaabi started their large military action in the al-Mahlabiyeh, Tal afar, and Sinjar region.

Iraq Economy and reforms

The recent attack on Syria saw in an increase in travelers to the Baghdad International airport. You didn’t know the Damascus International airport which is the main airport coming into Syria was closed for several days before the attack. When this happened people who had planned to travel to Syria had to change their travel plans. The travelers arrived at other neighboring countries airports.

The Iraqi economy has contracted the last few years because of the war against the Islamic State. As there was no funds for infrastructure projects because the Government of Iraq (GOI) was paying soldiers and militias to fight terrorists. In addition, the GOI had to handle 2 million displaced persons that fled from their homes and moved into the neighboring provinces in the north and south. The GOI stopped paying the government salaries and pensions to government employees since June 2014. It’s because the GOI didn’t want the funds to go to the Islamic State. The GOI is trying to pay those salaries and pensions as soon as they are able.

The GOI has reforms to start to jumpstart the economy. Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi in a speech said he wants to get away from dependence on oil and build up other industries. This will take time. The GOI has to improve the access to credit and develop the banking industry to increase development in the other industries. Oil prices are above $46 dollars, and is inline with the 2018 federal budget. We can hope that the price of oil goes to $90 or $100 and this helps the GOI. If the oil prices fall below $46, it will weaken the economy and deplete the low financial foreign reserves are at an estimated $45bln. You will see Iraqi’s exchange their dinars to U.S. dollars because the economy would be unstable.

The Iraq elections are May 12. It is the most important election for the country. The Iranian government has double down and is getting every Iranian agent on the ballet box and wants to keep their grip on the Iraqi government. The Iranians wants the United States out of Iraq and if they get enough support in the Iraqi parliament, it may happen. Speaking of elections guess who the Iranians want as the next Prime Minister? Yes, you guessed it Nuri al-Maliki.

Thank you for reading the American Contractor Intel Report (ACIR).

Rich Morris
American Contractor


8/27/2017 Hello -----, The Iraqi government continues to battle the Islamic State (IS/ISIS) in northern Iraq near the town of Tal Afar. The Iraqi Army Special Operations Counter-Terrorism unit (Golden Division) have initiated their combat operations and have captured eight villages near Tal Afar.
The combat operation in Tal Afar is slow moving and methodical. It is my opinion that the Golden Division, along with the units of the Iraqi Army will defeat the terrorists and therefore drive them out of Iraq. The U.S. Pentagon has reported that ISIS thugs have resorted to drug use in their fight against the U.S. backed rebels. A valid sign that the ISIS thugs fighting days are numbered.
In Anbar province, thugs are still trying to hold out against the Iraqi Army and U.S backed rebels.
The thugs remain near the border crossing of the Jordanian border trying to maintain their hold on the area. The towns of Al-Qaim, Ana, and Rawa are still under their control. It is just a matter of time before the drug users are overcome and defeated.

In past years, Iraqi politicians have siphoning off government funds and sent money to private, secret bank accounts located in Europe. The European banks relish this because they charge a percentage fee for managing these funds. The politicians are paying off everyone and anyone; it means those government employees are all on the payroll. As of now, it appears that no arrests have been made in regards to the money smuggling and laundering of the government funds. The amount of money smuggled out of Iraq is unknown however, reports are that it is in the hundreds of millions of dollars. In Baghdad, money laundering and smuggling investigations are ongoing. However, very few politicians are arrested and sent to prison. In Iraq, any convicted politician or individual with money can pay a bribe and avoid imprisonment. Other available options are to have another individual, a scapegoat, to sit in prison on your behalf.

The Iraqi dinar has been fluctuating between 1189 and 1260 to the dollar. The Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) continues to support the Iraqi dinar's peg to the dollar. The current peg is not expected to change for several years. The CBI is obtaining badly needed loans from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Bank, and several private organizations to assist in the rebuilding efforts.
Some organizations are reluctant to grant Iraq loans due to the simple fact that AML laws (anti-money laundering) are not withstanding and the additional lack of law enforcement is null.

Parliamentary Economic Committee member, Najiba Najib, is sounding the alarm about Iraq's current economic conditions. Najiba is quoted as saying that "the country is on the verge of austerity crisis as a result of Iraq's continued reduction in oil production in the organization and its financial budget as a result of the war against low oil prices. In addition, the crisis of displaced persons and ministries are not functioning and do not provide the level required to achieve self-sufficiency." This coming year, in 2018, the Iraqi government will have a laborious time in servicing debt, and repaying loans owed to other countries. It is likely that the hard currency, the U.S. dollar, will maintain its presence in Iraq for time to come. The Iraqi government (CBI) continues to print dinars to maintain the inflation in the single digits. The increasing deficit of $21bln will continue to be an ongoing issue well into 2018. One is to wonder and question how Iraq is going to receive a loan to help offset this enormous deficit? Let’s hope that the year 2018 sees the price of oil rise to $100. That would be a tremendous help to the Iraqi government in regards to the deficit.

Thank you for your continued  interest and support in reading the American Contractor Newsletter.

Rich Morris
American Contractor
americancontractor@gmail.com


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